The World Bank will host the 2016 DMDU workshop in Washington DC, on November 16 and 17, 2016, with a training on DMDU methodologies scheduled for November 15th, 2016. There is still place for the training, but it is running out fast. Please confirm here by October 15 if you have not done that already, to make sure we save you a spot! The annual meeting is fully booked. Please let us know if you will not come so there will be place for others to attend. Download the programme.
Training: Tuesday, November 15, 2016 – DMDU Methods Training
9:15 – 9:45 Introduction and overview of the day.
9:45 – 10:30 What is DMDU and how does it work?
10:30 – 12:15 Illustration in Practice.
12:15 – 13:00 Lunch
13:00 – 13:30 Substantive overview, presentation of the forthcoming book: “Decision making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice” Vincent Marchau and Warren Walker
13:30 – 14:30 What is the DMDU analyst’s toolkit?
14:30 – 14:45 Break
14:45 – 16:45 Introductory demos and application discussion
16:45 – 17:00 Wrap up and final plenary Q&A
Day 1: Wednesday, November 16, 2016
8:00 – 8:30 Breakfast
8:30 – 9:15 Welcome Session + Society session (e.g. book)
9:15 – 9:45 First set of poster pitches (unrelated to sessions)
9:45 – 10:00 Break
10:00 – 12:00 Session 1 – P. Reed: Bridging the False Divide: Are We Ignoring the Role of Adaptive Operations for Improving the Efficiency, Resilience and Robustness of Planned Infrastructure? Panelists: Patrick Reed, Cornell University, USA; Julie Quinn, Cornell University, USA; Marc Jaxa-Rozen, TU Delft, NL
12:00 – 1:30 Plenary and lunch – World Bank highlights (30 min max)
1:30 – 3:30 Session 2 – J. Lawrence, R. Lempert: Deep Uncertainty and the Long-Term: Time, the policy challenge and enablers for policy persistence. Panelists: Jonathan
Boston, Victoria University of Wellington, NZ; Leon Fuerth, George Washington University; Detlef Sprinz,University of Potsdam, DE; Nancy J. Donovan, US Government Accountability Office.
3:30 – 4:00 Break
4:00 – 6:00 Session 3 – J. Hall: Endogenising the ‘exogenous’: complex feedbacks in decision problems. Panelists: Jim Hall, University of Oxford, UK; Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University, USA; Claudia Sadoff, World Bank; TBC, DSTL, UK
7:00 Social Dinner
Day 2: Thursday, November 17, 2016
8:00 – 8:30 Breakfast
8:30 – 9:00 Recap Day 1, plan for Day 2
9:00 – 9:30 Second set of poster pitches (unrelated to sessions)
9:30 – 11:30 Session 4 – L. Kaatz: DMU Techniques in Practice – Successes, Challenges, and What’s to Come. Panelists: Brandon Goshi, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, USA; Alexis Dufour, San Francisco Public Utility Commission, USA; Paul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities: USA; Laurna Kaatz, Denver Water, Denver, USA.
11:30 – 1:00 Plenary and lunch: Communicating Uncertainty Ted Talk – “Conveying Wicked Climate and Energy Realities in an Uncertain Communication Climate”. Andy Rekvin
1:00 – 3:00 Session 5 – J. Fischbach: Balancing Decision-making Needs Under Deep Uncertainty with Effective, High-Quality Integrated Systems Modeling. Panelists: Debra Knopman, RAND Corporation, USA; Denise Reed The Water Institute of the Gulf, USA; Greg Characklis, UNC Chapel Hill, USA.
3:00 – 3:30 Break
3:30 – 4:30 Session 6 – S. Hallegatte: when poorly designed indicators lead to bad decisions. Panelists: Raphaelle Martínez Lattanzio, Senior Education Specialist, Planning, System Strengthening and Finance (World Bank); other panelists TBC.
4:30 – 5:00 Next steps with the society
5:00 Social Hour and Activity