Is it working, and for whom? Evaluation of DMDU engagements

by Katharine J. Mach Support for decision-making on issues with large stakes, uncertainties, and differences of priorities has increasingly emphasized engagement: ongoing interactions between analysts and stakeholders. The tools supporting these engagements often incorporate advances in decision-making under deep uncertainty. Through such processes, questions are refined, goals are redefined, and…

read more

Learning from DMDU and Complexity

By Robert Lempert Those seeking to make decisions or to exercise leadership in the world confront uncertainty because the future is not simply an extension of the past. The concept of deep uncertainty refers to situations “when parties to a decision do not know, or cannot agree on, the system…

read more

DMDU Society 2020 Elections

This November the DMDU Society will elect a new leadership team. We encourage you to participate by voting and by running for office. The leadership team is elected for a two-year term beginning in January 2021. This will be an exciting election, because four members of your leadership team have…

read more

COVID-19 and the DMDU Society

We hope that you and that your families are secure and safely sheltering from the COVID-19 pandemic.  Our hearts go out to those suffering during this difficult time. We wanted to give you an update and some initial thoughts on how the DMDU Society might help in these trying times….

read more

DMDU Meet Up at the Scenarios Forum

The DMDU community organized a DMDU Meetup at the Scenarios Forum, in Denver (https://www.scenariosforum2019.com/). The event was organized by the International Committee on New Integrated Climate change assessment Scenarios (ICONICS) and the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. If you are planning to attend DMDU-related conferences and are able…

read more

IEEE International Workshop on Resilience Engineering (IWRE) – Call for Papers

Website: https://paris.utdallas.edu/iwre19/ The workshop will be co-located with the 2019 IEEE International Conference on Software Quality, Reliability, and Security (https://qrs19.techconf.org/), in Sofia, Bulgaria, July 22-26, 2019. Resilience is rapidly spreading throughout domains traditionally studied by quality, reliability, and security researchers. It is widely recognized that progressively higher levels of resilience…

read more

Bezos World Or Levelers: Can We Choose Our Scenario?

Artificial intelligence (AI) augurs changes in society at least as large as those of the industrial revolution.  But much of the policy debate seems narrow – extrapolating current trends and asking how we might manage their rough edges.  This essay instead explores how AI might be used to enable fundamentally different future worlds and how one such future might be enabled by AI algorithms with different goals and functions than those most common today.

read more