By Patrick Reed Institutionally complex water resources systems have evolved globally to deal with omnipresent challenge of hydrological variability and extremes. The evolving vulnerability and resilience of these systems is a challenging scientific question for model-based decision support methods. This session[1] highlights that DMDU methods must carefully represent and explore…
Climate change perception: Driving forces and their interactions (2020)
Itxaso Ruiz, Sérgio H. Faria, Marc B. Neumann, Climate change perception: Driving forces and their interactions, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 108, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.03.020 Abstract: Public perception of climate change can either facilitate or hinder the implementation of climate policies. This perception is dependent on a number of influencing factors, called…
Discovering Dependencies, Trade‐offs, and Robustness in Joint Dam Design and Operation: An Ex‐post Assessment of the Kariba Dam (2019)
Bertoni, F., Castelletti, A., Giuliani, M., Reed, P.M., 2019. Discovering Dependencies, Trade-Offs, and Robustness in Joint Dam Design and Operation: An Ex-Post Assessment of the Kariba Dam. Earth’s Future 7, 1367–1390. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001235 Abstract:Globally, many countries are actively seeking to maximize the hydropower potential of major river basins, yielding proposals for…
Is it working, and for whom? Evaluation of DMDU engagements
by Katharine J. Mach Support for decision-making on issues with large stakes, uncertainties, and differences of priorities has increasingly emphasized engagement: ongoing interactions between analysts and stakeholders. The tools supporting these engagements often incorporate advances in decision-making under deep uncertainty. Through such processes, questions are refined, goals are redefined, and…
Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development (2020)
Shirin Malekpour, Warren E. Walker, Fjalar J. de Haan, Niki Frantzeskaki, Vincent A.W.J. Marchau, Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 107, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.03.002 Abstract: Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep uncertainty and…
Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems (2020)
Malek, K., Reed, P., Adam, J. et al. Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems. Nat Commun 11, 3473 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17219-z Abstract:Irrigated agriculture in snow-dependent regions contributes significantly to global food production. This study quantifies the impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the snow-dependent Yakima…
Learning from DMDU and Complexity
By Robert Lempert Those seeking to make decisions or to exercise leadership in the world confront uncertainty because the future is not simply an extension of the past. The concept of deep uncertainty refers to situations “when parties to a decision do not know, or cannot agree on, the system…
Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness (2020)
Vincent de Gooyert, Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness,Sustainable Futures, Volume 2, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2020.100028Abstract: Organizations operate in a turbulent environment which implies that the potential of long-term strategies is highly uncertain. Especially critical infrastructure providers face this issue as they typically invest with a…
Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research (2020)
Kees C H van Ginkel et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 023001https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395 Abstract:Tipping points have become a key concept in research on climate change, indicating points of abrupt transition in biophysical systems as well as transformative changes in adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, the potential existence of tipping points in socio-economic systems has remained…
Four tenure-track positions at the Josef Korbel School – University of Denver
The Josef Korbel School at the University of Denver is searching for four tenure-track positions at the Assistant Professor level, one in public policy focused on inequality (broadly construed), and three in international studies open to a variety of subfields, including security (broadly construed), development and its alternatives, sustainability, and methods. We are eager for innovative…