By Patrick Reed Institutionally complex water resources systems have evolved globally to deal with omnipresent challenge of hydrological variability and extremes. The evolving vulnerability and resilience of these systems is a challenging scientific question for model-based decision support methods. This session[1] highlights that DMDU methods must carefully represent and explore…
Is it working, and for whom? Evaluation of DMDU engagements
by Katharine J. Mach Support for decision-making on issues with large stakes, uncertainties, and differences of priorities has increasingly emphasized engagement: ongoing interactions between analysts and stakeholders. The tools supporting these engagements often incorporate advances in decision-making under deep uncertainty. Through such processes, questions are refined, goals are redefined, and…
Learning from DMDU and Complexity
By Robert Lempert Those seeking to make decisions or to exercise leadership in the world confront uncertainty because the future is not simply an extension of the past. The concept of deep uncertainty refers to situations “when parties to a decision do not know, or cannot agree on, the system…
Behavioral and experimental approaches for participatory DMDU
A glimpse into one session of the upcoming 2020 DMDU Meeting By Edmundo Molina We have all encountered that peculiar situation. You spend countless sleepless nights running the simulation experiments, processing workshop notes, and enduring meeting after meeting of constructive feedback with your peers and clients. Then, the big day…
DMDU Society 2020 Elections
This November the DMDU Society elected a new leadership team. You can find the election results at this link. Warren Walker has agreed to chair our elections committee. Nominations for leadership positions have been closed on November 5. The list of candidates for each position can be found below, and…
COVID-19 and the DMDU Society
We hope that you and that your families are secure and safely sheltering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Our hearts go out to those suffering during this difficult time. We wanted to give you an update and some initial thoughts on how the DMDU Society might help in these trying times….
Can There Be a Panic-Free Pandemic? Robust Policy Amid Uncertainty
Watch this interesting and timely live youtube session hosted by Andrew Revkin, featuring Jan Kwakkel and Robert Lempert discussing the COVID-19 pandemic through a DMDU lens.
ESRC STEPS Centre & Uncertainty: Upcoming Symposium and Latest Papers
In 2019 the ESRC STEPS Centre is producing a set of resources and events to challenge and explore the role that uncertainty plays in global development. Uncertainties can make it hard to plan ahead. But recognising them can help to reveal new questions and choices. What kinds of uncertainty are…
DMDU Meet Up at the Scenarios Forum
The DMDU community organized a DMDU Meetup at the Scenarios Forum, in Denver (https://www.scenariosforum2019.com/). The event was organized by the International Committee on New Integrated Climate change assessment Scenarios (ICONICS) and the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. If you are planning to attend DMDU-related conferences and are able…
IEEE International Workshop on Resilience Engineering (IWRE) – Call for Papers
Website: https://paris.utdallas.edu/iwre19/ The workshop will be co-located with the 2019 IEEE International Conference on Software Quality, Reliability, and Security (https://qrs19.techconf.org/), in Sofia, Bulgaria, July 22-26, 2019. Resilience is rapidly spreading throughout domains traditionally studied by quality, reliability, and security researchers. It is widely recognized that progressively higher levels of resilience…