Blog post contributed by Kostas Konstantinidis. The European Space Agency (ESA) recently posted a call on space-based solar power on its idea platform (OSIP), to which I submitted a DMDU-relevant idea titled “Robust and adaptive planning under deep uncertainties for space-based solar power” that might be of interest to DMDU society members. The idea…
Substantiating Energy Justice: Creating a Space to Understand Energy Dilemmas (2020)
Wood, N.; Roelich, K. Substantiating Energy Justice: Creating a Space to Understand Energy Dilemmas. Sustainability 2020, 12, 1917. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12051917 Abstract:This paper explores the relationships between the moral philosophical foundations and strategic goals of two conceptions of energy justice: the “triumvirate conception” and the “principled approach”. We explore the extent to which the goals…
DMDU checklist available for comments
The DMDU checklist document is available for comments from Society members. The draft checklist can be downloaded here. The objective of this DMDU checklist is to provide guidance on the basic elements of the process and analyses that need to be followed while making an investment or planning decision in…
The Coordination‐Information Bubble in Humanitarian Response: Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Investigations (2020)
Comes, T., et al. The Coordination‐Information Bubble in Humanitarian Response: Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Investigations. Production and Operations Management (2020)https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.13236 Abstract: Humanitarian disasters are highly dynamic and uncertain. The shifting situation, volatility of information, and the emergence of decision processes and coordination structures require humanitarian organizations to continuously adapt their operations. In this study,…
Machine Learning for Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty
By Adolfo De Unánue During the last couple of decades we have witnessed an increase of Data Science applications to almost all kinds of practical problems, or at least that’s what we have been told. However, if we look closer to this undeniable accomplishment, we will discover that the most…
From Poverty to Disaster and Back: a Review of the Literature (2020)
Hallegatte, S., Vogt-Schilb, A., Rozenberg, J. et al. From Poverty to Disaster and Back: a Review of the Literature. EconDisCliCha 4, 223–247 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-020-00060-5 Abstract:Poor people are disproportionally affected by natural hazards and disasters. This paper provides a review of the multiple factors that explain why this is the case. It explores the role of…
Vulnerability and risk: climate change and water supply from California’s Central Valley water system (2020)
Ray, P., Wi, S., Schwarz, A. et al. Vulnerability and risk: climate change and water supply from California’s Central Valley water system. Climatic Change 161, 177–199 (2020).https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02655-z Abstract:Water allocation institutions globally must operate within legal and political contexts established by precedent and codified in operating rules, even as they flex and adjust to climate change….
Practical challenges in the applications of DMDU
By Tania Lopez-Cantu Throughout progress in scientific discovery and technological advancement, engineers and scientists have learned how to approach modeling of a specific physical phenomena bounded by a set of unknown but well-defined rules or choosing the best alternative out of a constrained set of possible alternatives. Under these and…
Navigating Deeply Uncertain Tradeoffs in Harvested Predator-Prey Systems (2020)
Hadjimichael, Antonia; Reed, Patrick M; Quinn, Julianne D. Complexity, 2020https://www.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2020/4170453/ Abstract: Multiple fisheries have collapsed as a result of overfishing and strong limitations in our knowledge of system conditions and consequential ecological interactions. Fishery managers need to establish harvesting strategies that balance economic benefits against ecological objectives, including avoiding unintended…
Mainstreaming resilience science, approaches, and tools in the water resources sector
By Homero Paltan and Diego Juan Rodriguez Over the last few years, Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) methodologies and approaches have gained popularity to identify and address uncertainties which may affect the water sector. These uncertainties have ranged from climate change, demographic and demand shifts, or situations where stakeholders…