A glimpse into one session of the upcoming 2020 DMDU Meeting By Edmundo Molina We have all encountered that peculiar situation. You spend countless sleepless nights running the simulation experiments, processing workshop notes, and enduring meeting after meeting of constructive feedback with your peers and clients. Then, the big day…
Spatial Bias in Medium-Range Forecasts of Heavy Precipitation in the Sacramento River Basin: Implications for Water Management (2020)
Brodeur, Z. P., and S. Steinschneider, 2020: Spatial Bias in Medium-Range Forecasts of Heavy Precipitation in the Sacramento River Basin: Implications for Water Management. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1405–1423, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0226.1. Abstract:Forecasts of heavy precipitation delivered by atmospheric rivers (ARs) are becoming increasingly important for both flood control and water supply management in reservoirs across…
An open source model for quantifying risks in bulk electric power systems from spatially and temporally correlated hydrometeorological processes (2020)
Yufei Su, Jordan D. Kern, Simona Denaro, Joy Hill, Patrick Reed, Yina Sun, Jon Cohen, Gregory W. Characklis,An open source model for quantifying risks in bulk electric power systems from spatially and temporally correlated hydrometeorological processes,Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 126, 2020, 104667,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104667 Abstract:Variability (and extremes) in streamflow, wind speeds,…
Scenario processes for socio-environmental systems analysis of futures: A review of recent efforts and a salient research agenda for supporting decision making (2020)
Sondoss Elsawah, Serena H. Hamilton, Anthony J. Jakeman, Dale Rothman, Vanessa Schweizer, Evelina Trutnevyte, Henrik Carlsen, Crystal Drakes, Bob Frame, Baihua Fu, Celine Guivarch, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Kasper Kok, Hannah Kosow, Mike Ryan, Hedwig van Delden,Scenario processes for socio-environmental systems analysis of futures: A review of recent efforts and…
On considering robustness in the search phase of Robust Decision Making: A comparison of Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, multi-scenario Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, and Many Objective Robust Optimization (2020)
Erin Bartholomew, Jan H. Kwakkel, On considering robustness in the search phase of Robust Decision Making: A comparison of Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, multi-scenario Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, and Many Objective Robust Optimization, Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 127, 2020,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104699Abstract: In recent years, a family of approaches has emerged for…
DMDU Society 2020 Elections
This November the DMDU Society elected a new leadership team. You can find the election results at this link. Warren Walker has agreed to chair our elections committee. Nominations for leadership positions have been closed on November 5. The list of candidates for each position can be found below, and…
Is real options analysis fit for purpose in supporting climate adaptation planning and decision‐making? (2020)
Kwakkel, JH. Is real options analysis fit for purpose in supporting climate adaptation planning and decision‐making? WIREs Clim Change. 2020; 11:e638. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/wcc.638 Abstract:Even though real options analysis (ROA) is often thought as the best tool available for evaluating flexible strategies, there are profound problems with the assumptions underpinning ROA rendering it unsuitable for use in…
Defining robustness, vulnerabilities, and consequential scenarios for diverse stakeholder interests in institutionally complex river basins (2020)
Hadjimichael, A., Quinn, J. D., Wilson, E., et al. (2020). Defining robustness, vulnerabilities, and consequential scenarios for diverse stakeholder interests in institutionally complex river basins. Earth’s Future, 8, e2020EF001503. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001503 Abstract:The Upper Basin of the Colorado River in the southwestern United States supports municipal, industrial, agricultural, and recreational activities worth an estimated $300 billion/year within the state…
Engaging Multiple Worldviews With Quantitative Decision Support: A Robust Decision‐Making Demonstration Using the Lake Model (2020)
Lempert, R.J. and Turner, S. (2020), Engaging Multiple Worldviews With Quantitative Decision Support: A Robust Decision‐Making Demonstration Using the Lake Model. Risk Analysis. doi:10.1111/risa.13579 Abstract:Many of today’s most pressing policy challenges are usefully characterized as wicked problems. With contested framings parties to a decision disagree not only on potential solutions,…
Eight grand challenges in socio-environmental systems modeling
Elsawah, S., Filatova, T., Jakeman, A. J., Kettner, A. J., Zellner, M. L., Athanasiadis, I. N., Hamilton, S. H., Axtell, R. L., Brown, D. G., Gilligan, J. M., Janssen, M. A., Robinson, D. T., Rozenberg, J., Ullah, I. I. T., & Lade, S. J. (2020). Eight grand challenges in socio-environmental…