Shirin Malekpour, Jens Newig. Putting adaptive planning into practice: A meta-analysis of current applications (2020). Cities Volume 106, November 2020, 102866 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2020.102866 Abstract Adaptive planning, as opposed to the conventional ‘predict-and-act’ approach, has emerged as a paradigm to increase the resilience of our built environment and infrastructure systems. However, we…
Confronting Model Uncertainty in Policy Analysis for Complex Systems: What Policymakers Should Demand
Paul K. Davis and Steven W. Popper (2019), “Confronting Model Uncertainty in Policy Analysis for Complex Systems: What Policymakers Should Demand,” Journal of Policy and Complex Systems, 2(5), 181-201. https://view.joomag.com/journal-on-policy-complex-systems-volume-5-number-2-fall-2019/0729098001579703740/p182?short= Abstract: Good policy analysis needs to improve in routinely addressing not only uncertainty about model inputs to the model used,…
Meeting Climate, Mobility, and Equity Goals in Transportation Planning Under Wide-Ranging Scenarios: A Demonstration of Robust Decision Making
Robert Lempert, James Syme, George Mazur, Debra Knopman, Garett Ballard-Rosa, Kacey Lizon, Ifeanyi Edochie. Meeting Climate, Mobility, and Equity Goals in Transportation Planning Under Wide-Ranging Scenarios: A Demonstration of Robust Decision Making (2020) https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01944363.2020.1727766 Problem, research strategy, and findings: Prediction-based approaches, the heart of current transportation planning practice, are inadequate…
Climate adaptation as a control problem: Review and perspectives on dynamic water resources planning under uncertainty (2020)
Jonathan D. Herman Julianne D. Quinn Scott Steinschneider Matteo Giuliani Sarah Fletcher. Climate adaptation as a control problem: Review and perspectives on dynamic water resources planning under uncertainty. Water Resources Management (2020) https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025502 Abstract Climate change introduces substantial uncertainty to water resources planning and raises the key question: when, or…
Confident, likely, or both? The implementation of the uncertainty language framework in IPCC special reports (2020)
Janzwood, S. Confident, likely, or both? The implementation of the uncertainty language framework in IPCC special reports. Climatic Change (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02746-x <https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-020-02746-x#citeas> Abstract The uncertainty language framework used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is designed to encourage the consistent characterization and communication of uncertainty between chapters, working groups,…
Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development (2020)
Shirin Malekpour, Warren E. Walker, Fjalar J. de Haan, Niki Frantzeskaki, Vincent A.W.J. Marchau, Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 107, 2020, Pages 158-167. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901120302008 Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep…
Research Fellow in Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty
The School of Earth and Environment at the University of Leeds invites applications for a postdoctoral research fellow in Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty You will participate in a six-year EPSRC-funded research project, Multi-Actor Adaptive Decision Making (MAADM). MAADM aims to understand how to make better decisions to transform infrastructure…
Assistant Professor in Digitalized sustainable energy
The Department of Technology, Policy and Society (TPS) at the University of Twente (UT) invites applications for 5 Assistant Professor positions, all at the crossroads of social sciences and digitalization. Notably, there is a position of Assistant Professor in “Digitalized sustainable energy” focusing on the governance of decentralized multi-actor energy…
Postdoctoral Scholar Risk- and Decision Analysis to Inform Flood-Risk Management at The Pennsylvania State University
The Earth and Environmental Systems Institute (EESI) at The Pennsylvania State University invites applications for a Postdoctoral Scholar position focusing on the analysis of flood risks and strategies to manage these risks. The successful candidate will join a transdisciplinary research team supported by funding from sponsors such as The Department…
Using more realistic scenarios and assigning probabilities is not a robust basis for a climate risk assessment (Nature correspondence)
Recently, our DMDU members Judy Lawrence, Rob Lempert, and Marjolijn Haasnoot wrote a correspondence to Nature. Here we publish an extended version of this correspondence: Nature Correspondence From: Judy Lawrence[1], Marjolijn Haasnoot[2], Robert Lempert[3] The Nature Comment 29 January 2020 by Hausfather and Peters1 argues that the RCP8.5 emissions scenario…