Self-Adaptive Multi-Objective Climate Policies Align Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies (2022)

Carlino, A., Tavoni, M., & Castelletti, A. (2022). Self-adaptive multi-objective climate policies align mitigation and adaptation strategies. Earth’s Future, 10, e2022EF002767. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002767 Intensifying climate change impacts can divert the economic resources away from emission reduction toward adaptation to reduce rising damages, jeopardizing temperature stabilization within safe levels. Indeed, the traditional…

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Climate-aware decision-making: lessons for electric grid infrastructure planning and operations

Brockway, Anna M, Liyang Wang, Laurel N Dunn, Duncan Callaway, and Andrew Jones. “Climate-Aware Decision-Making: Lessons for Electric Grid Infrastructure Planning and Operations.” Environmental Research Letters 17, no. 7 (June 28, 2022): 073002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac7815. Climate change poses significant risks to large-scale infrastructure systems and brings considerable uncertainties that challenge historical…

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Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk (2022)

Schlumberger, J., Haasnoot, M., de Ruiter, M., and Aerts, J.: Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk. iScience Volume 25, Issue 10, 2022, 105219, ISSN 2589-0042, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.105219. Climate change impacts are increasingly complex owing to compounding, interacting, and cascading risks across sectors. However,  approaches…

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post-MORDM: Mapping policies to synthesize optimization and robustness results for decision-maker compromise (2022)

Bonham, N., Kasprzyk, J., Zagona, E., 2022. post-MORDM: Mapping policies to synthesize optimization and robustness results for decision-maker compromise. Environ. Model. Softw. 157, 105491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105491 This paper introduces post-MORDM, a decision-support framework that augments Many Objective Robust Decision Making (MORDM). MORDM often creates an intractable number of environmental management policies,…

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From optimal to robust climate strategies: expanding integrated assessment model ensembles to manage economic, social, and environmental objectives (2022)

Ferrari Luca, Angelo Carlino, Paolo Gazzotti, Massimo Tavoni, and Andrea Castelletti. 2022. “From Optimal to Robust Climate Strategies: Expanding Integrated Assessment Model Ensembles to Manage Economic, Social, and Environmental Objectives.” Environmental Research Letters. doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac843b   Cost-benefit integrated assessment models generate welfare-maximizing mitigation pathways under a set of assumptions to…

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Trade-off informed adaptive and robust real options water resources planning

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.104117 Planning water resource systems is challenged primarily by two realities. First, uncertainty is inherent in the predictions of future supplies and demands due for example to hydrological variability and climate change. To build societal resilience water planners should seek to enhance the adaptability and robustness of water resource system…

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Diversifying models for analysing global change scenarios and sustainability pathways (2022)

E. A. Moallemi, L. Gao, S. Eker, B. Bryan, Diversifying models for analysing global change scenarios and sustainability pathways. Global Sustainability 5, 1-17 (2022). url: https://t.co/2cGUyA0GbK Non-technical summary: Models are increasingly used to inform the transformation of human–Earth systems towards a sustainable future, aligned with the sustainable development goals (SDGs)….

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Decision Science Can Help Address the Challenges of Long-Term Planning in the Colorado River Basin (2022)

Rebecca Smith, Edith Zagona, Joseph Kasprzyk, Nathan Bonham, Elliot Alexander, Alan Butler, James Prairie, Carly Jerla http://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12985 “Deep uncertainty” is a term that describes planning contexts in which it is impossible to determine the likelihood of any given set of future conditions, there are conflicting performance objectives and priorities, and…

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Visualizations for decision support in scenario-based multiobjective optimization

Shavazipour, Babooshka, Manuel López-Ibáñez, and Kaisa Miettinen. “Visualizations for decision support in scenario-based multiobjective optimization.” Information Sciences 578 (2021): 1-21.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2021.07.025 Abstract We address challenges of decision problems when managers need to optimize several conflicting objectives simultaneously under uncertainty. We propose visualization tools to support the solution of such scenario-based multiobjective optimization…

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New Article: Robust climate change adaptation for environmental flows in the Goulburn River, Australia

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2021.789206/abstract Climate change presents severe risks for the implementation and success of environmental flows worldwide. Current environmental flow assessments tend to assume climate stationarity, so there is an urgent need for robust environmental flow programs that allow adaptation to changing flow regimes due to climate change. Designing and implementing robust…

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