Rebecca Smith, Joseph Kasprzyk, Lisa Dilling, Testing the potential of Multiobjective Evolutionary Algorithms (MOEAs) with Colorado water managers, Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 117, 2019, Pages 149-163, ISSN 1364-8152, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.03.011. Multiobjective Evolutionary Algorithms (MOEAs) generate quantitative information about performance relationships between a system’s potentially conflicting objectives (termed tradeoffs). Research applications have suggested…
Robust abatement pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action (2019)
J. R. Lamontagne, P. M. Reed, G. Marangoni, K. Keller, and G. G. Garner. Robust abatement pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action. Nature Climate Change, page 1, March 2019. ISSN 1758-6798. doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0426-8. URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-019-0426-8. Disentangling the relative importance of climate change abatement policies from the human–Earth…
Investments under non-stationarity: economic evaluation of adaptation pathways (2019)
Haasnoot, M., van Aalst, M., Rozenberg, J., Dominique, K., Matthews, J., Bouwer, L. M., … Poff, N. L. (2019). Investments under non-stationarity: economic evaluation of adaptation pathways. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02409-6 Investment decisions about capital-intensive, long-lived infrastructure are challenging due to uncertainty about their future performance, particularly if the performance is…
Dynamically Optimizing the Strategic Plan of Mining Complexes (2019)
Del Castillo, M. F., & Dimitrakopoulos, R. (2019). Dynamically optimizing the strategic plan of mining complexes under supply uncertainty. Resources Policy, 60, 83-93. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420718302307 Abstract Mining complexes are comprised of multiple mines and mineral processing streams, each governed by internal (mineral deposit, operation) and external (commodity prices) uncertainties, and must be optimized jointly…
Advancing disaster policies by integrating dynamic adaptive behaviour in risk assessments using an agent-based modelling approach (2019)
Haer,T. Botzen, W.J.W, Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2019) Advancing disaster policies by integrating dynamic adaptive behaviour in risk assessments using an agent-based modelling approach. Environmental Research Letters 14 044022 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab0770 Recent floods in the United States and Asia again highlighted their devastating effects, and without investments in adaptation, the future impact of…
DMDU Meet Up at the Scenarios Forum
The DMDU community organized a DMDU Meetup at the Scenarios Forum, in Denver (https://www.scenariosforum2019.com/). The event was organized by the International Committee on New Integrated Climate change assessment Scenarios (ICONICS) and the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. If you are planning to attend DMDU-related conferences and are able…
Open Access DMDU Book Released!
The Open Access Book “Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice” has been released by Springer (Click here to download). This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches…
Geospatial Programmer Position at the World Bank
The World Bank Group’s capacity to collect, manage, analyze and distribute geospatial data is coordinated by the Geospatial Operational Support Team (GOST). GOST is looking for a qualified candidate to join the team as a Geospatial Programmer. This role requires a person with a combination of skills in geography, GIS,…
IEEE International Workshop on Resilience Engineering (IWRE) – Call for Papers
Website: https://paris.utdallas.edu/iwre19/ The workshop will be co-located with the 2019 IEEE International Conference on Software Quality, Reliability, and Security (https://qrs19.techconf.org/), in Sofia, Bulgaria, July 22-26, 2019. Resilience is rapidly spreading throughout domains traditionally studied by quality, reliability, and security researchers. It is widely recognized that progressively higher levels of resilience…
Bezos World Or Levelers: Can We Choose Our Scenario?
Artificial intelligence (AI) augurs changes in society at least as large as those of the industrial revolution. But much of the policy debate seems narrow – extrapolating current trends and asking how we might manage their rough edges. This essay instead explores how AI might be used to enable fundamentally different future worlds and how one such future might be enabled by AI algorithms with different goals and functions than those most common today.