A review of methodologies applied in Australian practice to evaluate long-term coastal adaptation options (2017)

Ramm TD, White CJ, Chan A, Watson CS (2017). A review of decision analysis methods used in long-term coastal adaptation studies in Australia. Climate Risk Management. DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.06.005 Rising sea levels have the potential to alter coastal flooding regimes around the world and local governments are beginning to consider how to manage uncertain…

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Water Supply Infrastructure Planning: Decision-Making Framework to Classify Multiple Uncertainties and Evaluate Flexible Design 2017

S. Fletcher, M, Miotti, J. Swaminathan, M. Klemun, K. Strzepek and A. Siddiqi. 2017. “Water Supply Infrastructure Planning: A Decision-Making Framework to Classify Multiple Uncertainties and Evaluate Flexible Design.” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 143 (10). http://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29WR.1943-5452.0000823 Urban planners face challenges in water infrastructure development decisions due to…

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Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways (2017)

Moallemi, E. A., de Haan, F., Kwakkel, J., & Aye, L. (2017). Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways: A case study of India’s electricity sector. Energy Policy, 110, 271–287. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.019   Abstract: Energy transitions unfold under the influence of socio-technical, political and economic uncertainties. This paper introduces a narrative-informed…

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Adopting robust decision-making to forest management under climate change (2017)

Radke, N., Yousefpour, R., von Detten, R., Reifenberg, S., Hanewinkel, M.: Adopting robust decision-making to forest management under climate change. Ann Forest Sci, 2017; 74 (43): . : http://doi:10.1077/s13595-017-0641-s Key message Multi-objective robust decision making is a promising decision-making method in forest management under climate change as it adequately considers…

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Uncertainty at AGU

Several sessions at AGU 2017 conference will adress (hydrologic) uncertainty. An overview is given here: http://aguhu.blogspot.nl/2017/07/which-session-to-submit-to-hydrologic.html DMDU draws on a range of approaches to deal with uncertainty. Methods for living with (deep) uncertainty is a key focus, but not all aspects of a situation are deeply uncertain. Even if we…

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Finding pathways to national-scale land-sector sustainability (2017)

Gao, L., Bryan, B.A., 2017. Finding pathways to national-scale land-sector sustainability. Nature 544(7649) 217–222. https://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v544/n7649/abs/nature21694.html Abstract The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets under Agenda 2030 of the United Nations map a coherent global sustainability ambition at a level of detail general enough to garner consensus amongst nations. However,…

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Simulated Climate Adaptation in Stormwater Systems: Evaluating the Efficiency of Adaptation Strategies (2017)

McCurdy, A. and W. Travis (2017) Simulated climate adaptation in stormwater systems: evaluating the efficiency of adaptation strategies. Environment Systems and Decisions. Published online: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10669-017-9631-z Adaptations in infrastructure may be necessitated by changes in temperature and precipitation patterns to avoid losses and maintain expected levels of service. A roster of…

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Decision-Making Under Uncertain Climate Change: A Response, and an Invitation, to Bret Stephens

By Robert Lempert and Marjolijn Haasnoot In columnist Bret Stephens’ first blog post for the New York Times, published at the end of April, he highlights the uncertainty surrounding climate change, warns against overconfidence, and issues an invitation to dialogue. We agree that significant uncertainty exists regarding the future impacts…

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