Haasnoot, M., Kwadijk, J., Alphen, J. van, Bars, D.L., Hurk, B. van den, Diermanse, F., Spek, A. van der, Essink, G.O., Delsman, J., Mens, M., 2020. Adaptation to uncertain sea-level rise; how uncertainty in Antarctic mass-loss impacts the coastal adaptation strategy of the Netherlands. Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 034007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab666c…
Rhodium: Python Library for ManyObjective Robust Decision Making and Exploratory Modeling (2020)
Hadjimichael, Antonia; Gold, David; Hadka, David; Reed, Patrick; Journal of Open Research Software (2020)https://openresearchsoftware.metajnl.com/articles/10.5334/jors.293/ Abstract:Rhodium is an open source Python library for robust decision making (RDM), many-objective robust decision making (MORDM), and exploratory modeling. These decision-support frameworks enable the identification of robust strategies for the management of complex environmental systems,…
An integrated framework for anticipating the future and dealing with uncertainty in policymaking (2020)
Cornelis van Dorsser, Poonam Taneja, Warren Walker, Vincent Marchau,An integrated framework for anticipating the future and dealing with uncertainty in policymaking, Futures, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2020.102594 Abstract: Policymakers need to make policies for an uncertain future, and policy analysts assist policymakers in choosing preferred courses of action. Despite a longstanding recognition that the…
The technique is never neutral. How methodological choices condition the generation of narratives for sustainability (2020)
Andrea Saltelli, Lorenzo Benini, Silvio Funtowicz, Mario Giampietro, Matthias Kaiser, Erik Reinert, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs,The technique is never neutral. How methodological choices condition the generation of narratives for sustainability, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 106, 2020, Pages 87-98,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.01.008 Abstract: How to tackle uncertainties and ensure quality in integrated…
Exploring a Direct Policy Search Framework for Multiobjective Optimization of a Microgrid Energy Management System (2020)
A Gupta, M Liu, D Gold, P Reed, CL Anderson, Proceedings of the 53rd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2020http://hdl.handle.net/10125/64124 Abstract:With an increasing focus on integration of distributed energy resources, it is likely that microgrids will proliferate globally. Microgrid systems will be expected to achieve multiple stakeholder objectives, motivating…
Climate change perception: Driving forces and their interactions (2020)
Itxaso Ruiz, Sérgio H. Faria, Marc B. Neumann, Climate change perception: Driving forces and their interactions, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 108, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.03.020 Abstract: Public perception of climate change can either facilitate or hinder the implementation of climate policies. This perception is dependent on a number of influencing factors, called…
Discovering Dependencies, Trade‐offs, and Robustness in Joint Dam Design and Operation: An Ex‐post Assessment of the Kariba Dam (2019)
Bertoni, F., Castelletti, A., Giuliani, M., Reed, P.M., 2019. Discovering Dependencies, Trade-Offs, and Robustness in Joint Dam Design and Operation: An Ex-Post Assessment of the Kariba Dam. Earth’s Future 7, 1367–1390. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001235 Abstract:Globally, many countries are actively seeking to maximize the hydropower potential of major river basins, yielding proposals for…
Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development (2020)
Shirin Malekpour, Warren E. Walker, Fjalar J. de Haan, Niki Frantzeskaki, Vincent A.W.J. Marchau, Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 107, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.03.002 Abstract: Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep uncertainty and…
Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems (2020)
Malek, K., Reed, P., Adam, J. et al. Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems. Nat Commun 11, 3473 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17219-z Abstract:Irrigated agriculture in snow-dependent regions contributes significantly to global food production. This study quantifies the impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the snow-dependent Yakima…
Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness (2020)
Vincent de Gooyert, Long term investments in critical infrastructure under environmental turbulence; Dilemmas of infrastructure responsiveness,Sustainable Futures, Volume 2, 2020https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2020.100028Abstract: Organizations operate in a turbulent environment which implies that the potential of long-term strategies is highly uncertain. Especially critical infrastructure providers face this issue as they typically invest with a…