The Earth and Environmental Systems Institute (EESI) at The Pennsylvania State University invites applications for a Postdoctoral Scholar position focusing on the analysis of flood risks and strategies to manage these risks. The successful candidate will join a transdisciplinary research team supported by funding from sponsors such as The Department…
Using more realistic scenarios and assigning probabilities is not a robust basis for a climate risk assessment (Nature correspondence)
Recently, our DMDU members Judy Lawrence, Rob Lempert, and Marjolijn Haasnoot wrote a correspondence to Nature. Here we publish an extended version of this correspondence: Nature Correspondence From: Judy Lawrence[1], Marjolijn Haasnoot[2], Robert Lempert[3] The Nature Comment 29 January 2020 by Hausfather and Peters1 argues that the RCP8.5 emissions scenario…
2020 DMDU Webinar Series
In this nine-episode webinar series, the Tecnologico de Monterrey hosts researchers sharing their expertise in DMDU methods, tools, and applications ranging from city planning and decarbonization to poverty reduction and autonomous vehicles. The final webinar of the series explores deep uncertainty in the context of COVID19. Recordings of these sessions…
Water is a master variable: solving for resilience in the modern era (2019)
Frederick Boltz, N. LeRoy Poff, Carl Folke, Nancy Kete, Casey M. Brown, Sarah St. George Freeman, John H. Matthews, Alex Martinez, Johan Rockström, Water is a master variable: Solving for resilience in the modern era, Water Security, 8, 2019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100048. Resilience is increasingly recognized as an imperative for any…
COVID-19 and the DMDU Society
We hope that you and that your families are secure and safely sheltering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Our hearts go out to those suffering during this difficult time. We wanted to give you an update and some initial thoughts on how the DMDU Society might help in these trying times….
Can There Be a Panic-Free Pandemic? Robust Policy Amid Uncertainty
Watch this interesting and timely live youtube session hosted by Andrew Revkin, featuring Jan Kwakkel and Robert Lempert discussing the COVID-19 pandemic through a DMDU lens.
Modeling with Stakeholders for Transformative Change (2019)
van Bruggen, A.; Nikolic, I.; Kwakkel, J. Modeling with Stakeholders for Transformative Change. Sustainability 2019, 11, 825. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su11030825 Coherent responses to important problems such as climate change require involving a multitude of stakeholders in a transformative process leading to development of policy pathways. The process of coming to an agreement…
How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation (2019)
Raso, L., Kwakkel, J., Timmermans, J. et al. How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation. Climatic Change 153, 267–283 (2019). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2355-3 Adaptive policies have emerged as a valuable strategy for dealing with uncertainties by recognising the capacity of systems to adapt over time…
Tensions, capabilities, and justice in climate change mitigation of fossil fuels (2019)
Nathan Wood and Katy Roelich (2019). Tensions, capabilities, and justice in climate change mitigation of fossil fuels, Energy Research & Social Science, 52, 114-122 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2019.02.014 In order to mitigate the well-being impacts of climate change effectively, we must reduce our use of fossil fuels. However, many contemporary forms of…
Decision making under uncertainty in climate change mitigation: introducing multiple actor motivations, agency and influence (2019)
Katy Roelich & Jannik Giesekam (2019) Decision making under uncertainty in climate change mitigation: introducing multiple actor motivations, agency and influence, Climate Policy, 19:2, 175-188 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1479238 Climate change mitigation has two main characteristics that interact to make it an extremely demanding challenge of governance: the complexity of the socio-technical systems that must be transformed…